Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.091666 0.098893 0.106566 0.115347 0.125147 0.135784 0.148250
2024-10-20 0.077799 0.087461 0.098325 0.111538 0.127302 0.145671 0.168938
2024-10-27 0.069077 0.079887 0.092534 0.108604 0.128746 0.153520 0.186888
2024-11-03 0.066093 0.078361 0.093230 0.112889 0.138682 0.172091 0.219897
2024-11-10 0.064232 0.077828 0.094826 0.118118 0.149990 0.193334 0.259119
2024-11-17 0.060777 0.074886 0.092959 0.118434 0.154496 0.205547 0.286992
2024-11-24 0.057089 0.071310 0.089895 0.116712 0.155781 0.213034 0.308486
2024-12-01 0.053650 0.067803 0.086616 0.114325 0.155723 0.218299 0.326906
2024-12-08 0.050246 0.064119 0.082825 0.110852 0.153637 0.220057 0.339490
2024-12-15 0.048138 0.062075 0.081159 0.110295 0.155841 0.228700 0.365118
2024-12-22 0.045917 0.059741 0.078923 0.108690 0.156198 0.234240 0.385807
2024-12-29 0.044633 0.058648 0.078386 0.109581 0.160562 0.246915 0.422004
2025-01-05 0.041992 0.055605 0.074998 0.106092 0.157871 0.247770 0.436610
2025-01-12 0.039595 0.052822 0.071876 0.102858 0.155415 0.248934 0.452548
2025-01-19 0.037561 0.050470 0.069268 0.100256 0.153791 0.251417 0.471857
2025-01-26 0.037298 0.050707 0.070582 0.104099 0.163793 0.277288 0.550342
2025-02-02 0.037229 0.051218 0.072330 0.108776 0.175794 0.309025 0.652845
2025-02-09 0.036173 0.050167 0.071549 0.109058 0.179583 0.324292 0.717372
2025-02-16 0.034804 0.048569 0.069802 0.107519 0.179692 0.331567 0.761755
2025-02-23 0.033404 0.046863 0.067796 0.105384 0.178416 0.335558 0.797722
2025-03-02 0.031895 0.044930 0.065331 0.102276 0.174916 0.333984 0.816137
2025-03-09 0.030992 0.043919 0.064339 0.101776 0.176695 0.345110 0.879581
2025-03-16 0.029962 0.042667 0.062887 0.100338 0.176384 0.351132 0.927920